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Subject: 
Re: How many things need to stack up before we throw this jerk out?
Newsgroups: 
lugnet.off-topic.debate
Date: 
Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:38:09 GMT
Viewed: 
238 times
  
In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Mike Petrucelli wrote:
Well from all 3 Economics classes I have taken through high school and
college all three teachers/professers have stated that a President and
Congress's effect on the economy shows up about 10 years after the fact.
Sort of a catch 22, the government gets credited or blamed for their
predeccessors actions. By the time what they themselves have done comes to
fruition someone else gets the credit or blame.

  We have to be careful about that kind of assertion, though, because it's
after-the-fact and is succeptible to tremendous spin.  Additionally (though not
conclusively) I've heard the point put forth most vehemently by conservative
pundits, who conveniently interpret the results in a way that favors Republican
administrations.
  Additionally, the Reagan tax cut preceded a huge deficit that can't be readily
blamed on Carter.  Should we blame Ford and Nixon instead?  Also, if the economy
makes a massive recovery in 2005, is Dubya going to say "Thank Bill Clinton" or
is he going to claim success of his reward-the-rich stimulus package?
I admit that I haven't had too much formal education in economics, but I
haven't heard much to support the 10-year-delay other than wishful thinking.
That's not a refutation, of course, but I'd like more detail.
  For example, why do they pick 10 years?  And on what basis do they identify
the causative relationship?

     Dave!



Message has 1 Reply:
  Re: How many things need to stack up before we throw this jerk out?
 
(...) Oh absolutely. (...) Well I have heard the same thing from liberals favoring Democratic admistrations that is why I tend to accept it moreso than not. (...) No. (...) Well duh. (...) Unfortunatly I really never figured that part out. Maybe (...) (21 years ago, 12-Jul-03, to lugnet.off-topic.debate)

Message is in Reply To:
  Re: How many things need to stack up before we throw this jerk out?
 
Well from all 3 Economics classes I have taken through high school and college all three teachers/professers have stated that a President and Congress's effect on the economy shows up about 10 years after the fact. Sort of a catch 22, the government (...) (21 years ago, 11-Jul-03, to lugnet.off-topic.debate)

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