Subject:
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Re: math question (or pattern... whatever...)
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.off-topic.geek
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Date:
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Tue, 4 Mar 2003 19:18:46 GMT
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Viewed:
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392 times
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In lugnet.off-topic.geek, David Koudys writes:
> I still like the 50 percent possibility tho.
Liking it or not is irrelevant. The probabilities are what they are.
And the answer is still 2/3 if you switch, given the premises. No matter
whether you like it or not.
Go to the site I gave you and read what is written there.
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Message has 2 Replies:
 | | Re: math question (or pattern... whatever...)
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| (...) Actually, it supports the 50/50. Host will always offers regardless of whether you chose correctly or not (basic premise - choose the "host does not know"): simulator runs 50/50. If it's a screw you scenario, then yes, you switch, but I (...) (22 years ago, 4-Mar-03, to lugnet.off-topic.geek)
| | | Re: math question (or pattern... whatever...)
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| (...) Got it... Goes into a fairly comprehensible walk-thru, but the point that makes it obvious (as stated) is: " Imagine that there were a million doors. Also, after you have chosen your door; Monty opens all but one of the remaining doors, (...) (22 years ago, 4-Mar-03, to lugnet.off-topic.geek)
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Message is in Reply To:
| | Re: math question (or pattern... whatever...)
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| In lugnet.off-topic.geek, Bruce Schlickbernd writes: <snip> (...) So, like others suggest about knowing that one of the marbles is red, the chance that the other one is red... the one that we know becomes basically irrelevant to the chance--there (...) (22 years ago, 4-Mar-03, to lugnet.off-topic.geek)
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