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Subject: 
Re: Are we doing the right thing?
Newsgroups: 
lugnet.off-topic.debate
Date: 
Fri, 31 Aug 2001 21:39:08 GMT
Viewed: 
412 times
  
In lugnet.build.mecha, Shaun Sullivan writes:
In lugnet.build.mecha, Mladen Pejic writes:
I agree 110% with James!

Look at the Cold War for example, both the U.S.A. and U.S.S.R. had enough
nuclear weapons to annihilate the world, but did they? Deterrence is what
prevented both nations from even thinking about launching their arsenals.

If anything, I'd say that this reinforces a point that Eric made, at least by
example. That point being that a strong military is useful in deterring other
nations from attacking yours, but speaks nothing as to whether or not your
nation will attack another.

The USSR never (directly) attacked the US, and vice versa, given that their
adversary in those cases had a comparable miltary might.

BUT, neither nation has, since WWII, displayed much consternation over
conflicts against supposedly inferior (militarily speaking) nations - e.g.
Afghanistan, Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Panama.

I don't think anybody will argue the point that the 98 pound weakling is very
unlikely to go head to head with the 280 pound bully (that's about 6 stone and
18 stone, respectively ;), but drawing the conclusion that by being 280 pounds
the bully will live peacefully ever after seems somewhat misguided.  Given that
it is unlikely that all nations will be on equal footing anytime in the
forseeable future, having large armaments doesn't ensure peace - though it does
ensure that (most) others probably won't directly be the instigators of any
non-peaceful situations that you are involved in.

Note that I am *not* saying that a strong military should therefore be
discarded ... I recognize the merit in the notion that it is advantageous to at
least ensure that no one is likely to attack you - that way, you've at least
eliminated the external source of conflict.

Interesting sidebars:

(1) How do "police actions" fit into this?  When a nation acts in a way that is
detrimental to another nation's interests, without actually challenging the
sovereignty of that nation (i.e., Iraq, Serbia, Bosnia, Somalia (?)), who is
the actual instigator if the two nations engage?  Keep in mind, behaving in a
way detrimental to another nation's benefit doesn't necessarily constitute a
call to arms ... businesses have to do it all the time to other businesses, and
we (the US, that is - we can rag on Imperial Britain some other time ;)
certainly have few qualms about doing it to other nations.  Given that the
nature of many countries' relationships is competitive, who is the actual
instigator in a combatative situation as described above?


I think that "police actions" are birds of two different feathers:

1) Those with a clear moral imperative - Rwanda comes to mind.  Oh wait.  We
just watched the massacre happen.  Never mind.

2) Those "police actions" that are really calculated to serve political
objectives of the "peace-keepers."  For example:

a) The NATO-led mission in Bosnia during the mid-nineties was mainly carried
out, IMO, because we (the West, for the most part) were able to get in there and
try to shape geopolitical politics to our advantage while a weak Russia remained
impotent to the situation.  Maybe (and I hope that this is true) atrocities such
as Sebrenika (I know that is terribly misspelled) did motivate our collective
peace-keeping consciences, but the Rwanda massacre sure didn't.

b) Our current mucking about in Macedonia: I'd wager that we care more about
maintaining a nice civil balance between Greece and Turkey - a balance that
helps to maintain NATO stability and keeps that all-important Islamic Middle-
Eastern laison in the fold - than we do about just and moral government in
Macedonia.

An interesting peace-keeping nation is Pakistan; though it is a relatively weak
country (nukes notwithstanding), it never fails to pull its weight in foreign
crisis, even when its said crisis don't really alter its geopolitical balance -
as in Bosnia, for instance.

(2) Clearly, a strong military is next-to-useless against a well organized
terrorist movement.  All our tanks and planes and ships didn't help much in
Oklahoma, or at the World Trade Center.  And given that terrorism is a popular
means of combatting the policies of stronger (aka 280 pound) nations, how does
the strong military promote peace and a safe population?

And therein lies the challenge of the brave new world.  Official shows-of-force
aren't really adequate to the challenge of the 21st century threats to national
security - terrorists.  No nation on earth is going to launch nukes against a
similarly-armed enemy, but a small boat with a small nuke in somebody's harbor
is an insidious threat than no amount of technological boondoggling (i.e., the
missile defense) can address.

just some thoughts

james



Message is in Reply To:
  Re: Are we doing the right thing?
 
(...) If anything, I'd say that this reinforces a point that Eric made, at least by example. That point being that a strong military is useful in deterring other nations from attacking yours, but speaks nothing as to whether or not your nation will (...) (23 years ago, 31-Aug-01, to lugnet.build.mecha, lugnet.off-topic.debate)

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