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Subject: 
Re: Is lego *truly* unlimited? (some thoughts)
Newsgroups: 
lugnet.off-topic.geek
Date: 
Thu, 9 Dec 2004 03:32:02 GMT
Viewed: 
1610 times
  
In lugnet.general, David Eaton wrote:
In lugnet.general, Samarth Moray wrote:
Some thoughts/comments from the Mathematicians out there?

Well, 1st off, there's probably on the order of several hundred billion pieces
on the planet.

Hi David,
Thats why I said something more finite, like our collections would be
easier/possible to calculate.

5x10^11 possible 1-piece MOC's
Roughly 2.5x10^23 possible 2-piece MOC's
Roughly 1.25x10^35 possible 3-piece MOC's
Roughly 6.25x10^46 possible 4-piece MOC's
Roughly 3.13x10^58 possible 5-piece MOC's

That's not really accurate, of course, because colors combos are duplicated in
spades. However, when you get to the 250-billion-piece-MOC's, that progression
will get more accurate (dunno what 5x10^11 choose 2.5x10^11 is, but any computer
asked to compute such a flagrantly ridiculous number would probably cry
uncontrollably-- you might even want to use scientific notation to denote the
10's exponent for such a hilariously gigantic number[1]).

Now, the shortest measure of time I can find that has a name is a "yocto"
second. (10^-24 of a second-- a quadrillionth of a nanosecond). Assuming a
10-billion year age of the universe, there's about 3x10^41 yoctoseconds in the
history of the universe. And we've already got WAY more possible MOC's than
that.

Hence, given the variety and quantity of Lego parts, I would argue that even
knowing the exact number of ways to connect all types of pieces and precisely
how many of each piece/color existed, you *still* couldn't even compute all the
possible permutations, even with computers a billion times faster than what
we've got today.

In that regard, Lego really IS "unlimited". Instead of the Lego being limited,
it's you as the builder who is limited, because there are far more possible Lego
creations than are conceiveably buildable by all the humans that ever were and
ever will be. For all intents and purposes, infinite.

DaveE

[1] Ok, at a very rough guess, 500 billion choose 250 billion is at least
1x10^(4x10^11) or 1x10^400000000000, which... is a lot. Guessed based on how
quickly the "middle number" in Pascal's triangle increases. Every other row's
middle number seems to grow logarithmically, at hits at LEAST 4 long before it
gets even halfway to the billionth row. Hence, I used a factor of 4 to guess at
the number of 0's that the center number goes up by after 500 billion rows (250
iterations, since it's counting every other row). In actuality, there's probably
a better factor to use to guess with.

All that fancy math........


FUT .geek, fellow nerds!

I shouldve x-posted there in the beginning.


Thanks,
Samarth



Message is in Reply To:
  Re: Is lego *truly* unlimited? (some thoughts)
 
(...) Well, 1st off, there's probably on the order of several hundred billion pieces on the planet. I remember reading in some FAQ the estimated number of pieces in the world, but I can't seem to find it at the moment. I know they make about 20 (...) (20 years ago, 8-Dec-04, to lugnet.general)

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