Subject:
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Re: Why is AIDS such a big deal?
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.off-topic.debate
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Date:
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Mon, 8 May 2000 21:26:52 GMT
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Viewed:
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445 times
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In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Christopher Tracey writes:
>
>
> Christopher Weeks wrote:
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> > Extinction of what? Not species. Cultures? Maybe. But the worst I've • heard
> > so far is 25% infection rate. That's bad, but not extinction-level bad.
>
> how do you figure? i think a 25% infection rate with all offspring produced
> after infection of the parent being affected
As I understand it, infection by the father isn't transmitted via conception at
all. And, for reasons somewhat unknown, HIV infected mothers frequently
produce babies without infection. So, your premis isn't correct.
> would set some alarms off for
> the possibility of a local extinction.
But even if it were, 25% is 25% is 25%. If 25% of the people are infected and
they're all producing offspring at the same rate (which might not be true) then
you can assume that 25% of the new kids will also be infected. Thus it's still
just 25%, and the 75% of uninfected people will continue to live. So, what do
you mean when you suggest "the possibility of a local extinction?" What
happened to the other three out of four people that didn't die from AIDS?
> Especially if you figure that the
> infection rate has and most likely will increase as time goe on.
_If_ you figure that, then the problem is worse. But I don't figure that. I
figure that the rate will decline shortly.
Chris
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Message has 1 Reply:
 | | Re: Why is AIDS such a big deal?
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| (...) What leads you to think that? The infected people are not all dying very soon. Some (many) of them do not know they are infected, and many of them do not know how to prevent transmitting HIV. They will continue to pass it on, and probably for (...) (25 years ago, 8-May-00, to lugnet.off-topic.debate)
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Message is in Reply To:
| | Re: Why is AIDS such a big deal?
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| (...) how do you figure? i think a 25% infection rate with all offspring produced after infection of the parent being affected would set some alarms off for the possibility of a local extinction. Especially if you figure that the infection rate has (...) (25 years ago, 8-May-00, to lugnet.off-topic.debate)
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