Subject:
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Re: Naive Sellers (Was Re: 4561 alternates (was: sale at kbkids)
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.off-topic.debate
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Date:
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Mon, 13 Dec 1999 03:41:55 GMT
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Viewed:
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517 times
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Frank Filz wrote:
> John Neal wrote in message <3853EF6C.1D77857F@uswest.net>...
> >
> >
> > "Tom Stangl, VFAQman" wrote:
> >
> > >
> > > Well, he CERTAINLY has to be making at least something on them, or he • wouldn't
> > > stay in business, would he?
> >
> > Well, time will tell, but I do know one thing from being in a streaky • business
> > myself-- you have to strike while the iron is hot. It is times like those • when a
> > business is hot that will carry a business through the cool times, and I'd • like to
> > see Emmanuel stick around for a while because he provides a valuable • service to
> > AFOLers.
>
> I wonder how long the type of things he does will continue to work. Right
> now there is a feeding frenzy as he cleans out desirable discontinued sets.
> In 2002, will there be any significant stock of 2000 sets lying around that
> AFOLs will pay something close to original MSRP for (remember that DYA's
> discounts really aren't very steep)? I know there will always be
> inefficiencies in the distribution, which will result in some warehouses
> with old sets, but I suspect the quantities will drop, and the demand will
> drop.
I doubt it. The demand for the older sets, will go up exponentially, and DYA
will probably raise prices at that point IF Emmanuel deems it necessary (like
he thinks "hm, not getting as much through my contacts as I used to...").
As the Internet explodes, demand for ANY discontinued set, recent or not, will
increase. A set you hate or wouldn't look at twice will have
hundreds/thousands of people clamoring for it (I could care less about Fort
Legoredo, and up until about a month ago, ignored trains).
> Also, LEGO Direct could have a severe impact, why buy an old set just
> for the train windows which are now available by themselves from LEGO
> Direct?
True. But I didn't buy ANY of the huge train order I made recently for parts.
And I'm reconsidering splitting up any of the 4532/4539s on the way to me too.
> On the other hand, if the growth of the AFOL hobby continues, there could
> very well end up being a demand for all those 1999 town junior sets that
> must be lying around somewhere.
EXACTLY.
--
Tom Stangl
***http://www.vfaq.com/
***DSM Visual FAQ home
***http://ba.dsm.org/
***SF Bay Area DSMs
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