 | | Re: Sante Fe Wish List
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| (...) Yes, I hope they don’t go for a numbered Ltd Ed run of 10,000 again. The chances of getting a match (if you buy one of each) would be ~1:10,000,000 or 1:9,900,025 if we allow for BJ taking 5 from each run! (if my Y2 stats are correct... what (...) (22 years ago, 27-Feb-02, to lugnet.trains)
| | | | | Re: Sante Fe Wish List
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| (...) I can't resist this one...if you already have one Santa Fe loc and buy one expansion pack, the chances of getting a match are 1:10,000 (or, 1:9995 to account for the 5 taken out by BJ), not 1/100,000,000=(1/10,000)^2. The chances of getting (...) (22 years ago, 27-Feb-02, to lugnet.trains)
| | | | | Re: Sante Fe Wish List
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| (...) Zero. (...) I deserved that - Thanks Allan. I was working on the latter case, but missed a zero in my metal calc, and then, for some reason, missed the nine at the start of 99900025 ((10k-5)^2). Basically, if I wanted to get two the same I'm (...) (22 years ago, 27-Feb-02, to lugnet.trains)
| | | | | Re: Sante Fe Wish List
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| (...) You're still not understanding the math. Put it this way, lets say I have A8888, what is the chance that when I buy a B unit I get B8888? One in 9995. The one in 99900025 chance is the chance you would have to get both A0006 and B0006 (or (...) (22 years ago, 28-Feb-02, to lugnet.trains)
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