Subject:
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Re: not-too-Deep Yellow (Re: dinner is 2nd Friday!)
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.org.ca.rtltoronto
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Date:
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Sat, 6 Dec 2003 03:37:03 GMT
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Viewed:
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1340 times
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In lugnet.org.ca.rtltoronto, Michael Purvis wrote:
> In lugnet.org.ca.rtltoronto, Chris Magno wrote:
> > Steve Hassenplug wrote:
> > > I just thought I should warn anyone who is thinking about this approach...
> > >
> > > I did some quick calculations. It seems if you use the rnd(7) approach to
> > > programming, and a robot with just a little brain plays red, the rnd(7) robot
> > > will LOSE on red's fourth move 76% of the time.
> >
> >
> > OK my RND(7) robot would have a 24% chance of beating your robot.
>
> More like a 24% chance of NOT LOSING BY THE FOURTH MOVE.
Yes, Chris, you need to read that again. There's a 76% chance you robot won't
even make four moves! In fact, 10% of the time, your third move won't even
matter. Your robot has already lost.
And, I haven't done all the math, but I'm pretty sure if your robot does make it
to move #4, there's at least a 25% chance it won't get to move #5.
So, there's only a 20% chance you'll still be playing after move four.
Of course, I've seen some of your other robots. Those are pretty good odds for
you.
Steve
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