Subject:
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Re: Future of Humanity (was: lotsa stuff)
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.off-topic.debate
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Date:
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Tue, 30 Oct 2001 22:33:15 GMT
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Viewed:
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903 times
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In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Christopher L. Weeks writes:
> God, how I hope you're right! But I'm less optimistic than you.
I don't really think it's cause for "optimism" -- in my book the longer it
takes before genetic manipulation of humans is commonplace the better! But a
lot of these processes are technologically feasible today, which is why I
put such a short timeframe on them. Don't underestimate the pace of research
in this field. The rough draft of the human genome was completed last year,
5-10 years sooner than predicted in 1995.
> In lugnet.off-topic.debate, I speculated:
>
> > 2002: designer human v1.0
> > tested for genetic abnormalities, gender in vitro
feasible now
> > 2003: first cloned human being born
feasible now
> > 2004: designer humanoid v1.0
> > nonhuman DNA incorporated in a viable human embryo
feasible now
> > 2005: first fatherless girl born
feasible now
> > 2006: genetic therapy in post-natal humans begins
I was wrong about this -- it's been happening for several years already:
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/health/july-dec99/gene_therapy.htm
The rest are still speculative, as far as I know, but you get the drift.
--DaveL
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