Subject:
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Re: Global Warming (was: Re: Why is AIDS such a big deal?)
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Newsgroups:
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lugnet.off-topic.debate
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Date:
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Thu, 11 May 2000 04:37:59 GMT
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Viewed:
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839 times
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In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Shiri Dori writes:
> In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Larry Pieniazek writes:
> > In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Shiri Dori writes:
> >
> > I give on the icecaps, ok? If they all melt at once, we're all going wading.
> > You still have to show that they're all going to melt, though. Won't take
> > much,
> > a few degrees higher average temp should do the trick, but the trends we see
> > are measured in hundreths of a degree.
>
> IIRC, the 'trends' have been measured as 1 degree celsius (1.8 F) over the
> past [hundred I think] years.
That data is suspect. 100 years ago we did not have the technology to determine
what the temperature was in a repeatable way over enough sample points to
determine what the average temperature is at a given location. We've had that
technology for much less than 50 years, I'd say. And 50 years does not a
climactic trend make.
I repeat, while prudence is good, there is every reason to believe this is
normal variation and has nothing to do with our activities. The data is too
inconclusive to go off half cocked and wreck an industrial civilization over a
chimera.
And IF there's a problem, there are better ways of tackling it than going after
greenhouse gasses. Lots and lots better ways. Many of THEM have the side
benefit that you end up with an industrial base in space as a result, instead
of a wrecked industrial base on the planet and nothing in space.
++Lar
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