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Subject: 
Re: More LP S P A M : (was Re: Scary Survey results about the US First Amendment)
Newsgroups: 
lugnet.off-topic.debate
Date: 
Mon, 16 Jul 2001 13:21:21 GMT
Viewed: 
2717 times
  
In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Christopher L. Weeks writes:
> In lugnet.off-topic.debate, Scott Arthur writes:
> 
> > > > Trouble maker.
> > > 
> > > Obviously my goal was to tweak you (in a friendly way), but that doesn't • change
> > > the fact that I am also serious.  Since I dug up the statistics published by
> > > the government of the UK that the chance of being violently victimized is • much
> > > greater over there (England and Wales, actually) than it is here, I've been
> > > milking it every time someone makes one of their wisecracks about the US gun
> > > culture.
> > 
> > I expect you mean this:
> > http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/uk/newsid_810000/810522.stm
> > 
> > It is worth noting that in some areas of the UK tossing a stone at a window
> > counts as attempted burglary.
> 
> Nope.  I hadn't read anything about that.  It sounds like a dumb stance on both
> sides.  Here is a snip from a note I posted on another forum in a discussion
> in which a Welsh woman was asserting that she was statistically safer than I
> was.  Basically, as far as I can tell, she's wrong.  One note: I did the math
> wrong in one step, using the population of the entire UK when the study was
> only dealing with England and Wales.  So the number v/K number for the UK study
> is more like 63 which is 150% of the US statistic.
> 
> ----------------
> 
> I'm having trouble finding perfectly comparable stats.  And nothing I find
> culls out Wales from the rest of the UK.  I see that in 1999 there were
> 3,246,000 violent crimes.  Which is about 55 victimizations per 1000
> population.  This comes from the 2000 British Crime Survey.
> 
> Document NCJ 167881 from the US Department of Justice suggests that the
> complimentary statistic for the entire US is 42 per 1000 in 1996.
> 
> They're not from the same year, but it doesn't seem to change
> much...except that the same reports suggest that violent crime in the UK is
> on the rise while in the US it is on the decline...but I'd ignore that since
> they weren't results from the same year.
> 
> So it is far from 3 times, but still more.  The gun stats that I compared
> show much higher gun related deaths in the US, though the stats didn't seem
> to include military action...I wonder how much Irish unrest changes the
> stats?  Also, while we have much higher gun death rates than you do, they're
> still pretty low.
> 
> According to the CDC, 1998 saw 30,708 firearm-related deaths in the entire
> US.  17,605 of those were suicides.  I'll call the 12,228 assaults and the
> 875 accidents that remain a problem.  So out of the roughly 275 million
> people in the US, .0000476 of them were killed by guns.


I am not sure you were both comparing like-with-like. But I would be
interested in seeing a more comprehensive comparison. In most developed
countries average crime levels are statistically low. What is important is
fear of crime… that is what affects us most day-to-day. I live in a country
where most feel no need to arm themselves, or protect their home in any real
way. I know nobody who keeps a gun under his or her bed. That said, I heard
a review of this book at the weekend, and it seams the same is not true of
the USA:
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0953743837/102-6933089-2592108

Scott A


> ------------------
> 
> Chris



Message is in Reply To:
  Re: More LP S P A M : (was Re: Scary Survey results about the US First Amendment)
 
(...) change (...) much (...) Nope. I hadn't read anything about that. It sounds like a dumb stance on both sides. Here is a snip from a note I posted on another forum in a discussion in which a Welsh woman was asserting that she was statistically (...) (25 years ago, 16-Jul-01, to lugnet.off-topic.debate)

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