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A scientific method would be to take the original RRP and apply the inflation
factor of the years since release and then divide that into the current
average ebay prices for that set. If you believe in the supply-and-demand
equation, the sets that have appreciated most are the most desired and hence
the most attractive for re-release.
Against this, there is the possibility that:
* the most highly prized sets might not be offered for resale very often and
hence difficult to value in such circumstances (but I think the world is full
of enough people who have lost interest in Lego to rule that out)
* the ebay prices are determined primarily by collectors who will not regard a
re-release as being equivalent to the original
* the prices people will pay in the heat of an auction are not what they will
pay "in cold blood" in a retail situation
* the prices of a set on ebay may be influenced by its inclusion of a rare
part, and that a small quantity of re-released sets might quickly saturate the
market's desire for this part
One has the impression that Guarded Inns are flying out of S@H as fast as they
can make them; many LUGnetters say they have bought multiple copies and it is
evident on brickbay/bricklink that many of them are being parted out. However,
if purchase of multiple copies is primarily for the parts (as opposed to, say,
giving as gifts), then S@H would have made you just as happy if they had just
released the corresponding parts as bulk bricks. I wonder if the Guarded Inn
is truly a success as a re-release or whether it is better judged as a success
as a parts pack. To be a true re-release success, one would expect people to
buy just one copy (apart from gifts).
Or is a re-release that isn't a parts pack inherently doomed because if it's
made from extremely common parts, we'd all have just built from the brickshelf
instructions and hence wouldn't want to buy it?
Kerry
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Message has 1 Reply:
 | | Re: wish list for lego legends
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| (...) I guess that is the most scientific way... and what might have prompted Lego to start putting out the legends, to get some of the market of "rare" but awesome and highly demanded sets. (...) good point....but there is two points to look at (...) (22 years ago, 7-Feb-02, to lugnet.dear-lego, lugnet.general)
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Message is in Reply To:
| | Re: wish list for lego legends
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| (...) What? No pirate sets?!? And only one space? *Everyone* knows that the priorities TLC should have are - 1 - 6285 Black Seas Barracuda 2 - 497 Galaxy Explorer 3 - Every other Pirate set 4 - Every other space set (made before '93) **List (...) (22 years ago, 6-Feb-02, to lugnet.dear-lego, lugnet.general)
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